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2010 food trends

Food Channel identified the Top Ten Foods of the Decade

  1. sushi
  2. bacon
  3. cupcakes
  4. sliders
  5. gourmet burgers made with Kobe or Angus beef
  6. superfruits (acai, pomegranate, blueberries)
  7. oils (including olive oil, truffle oil)
  8. whole grains
  9. artisan foods (particularly breads, cheeses, dark chocolate)
  10. coffees, teas

What foods and beverages do you think will define the next decade?  Not sure if the following are all contenders, but they’re off to a hot start in 2010.

Macarons are the new cupcakes.macarons

Don’t confuse these colorful, crunchy French confections with the sticky-sweet coconut balls called macaroons. Maybe only one “o” separates the two, but they’re nothing alike. Macarons are whoopie pie-like treats that were once limited to Parisian tea salons and pastry shops.  Now they’ve broken through to the mainstream stage. McDonald’s has started to sell in France and you can now find in Whole Foods, Trader Joe’s and Starbucks. Read more about macarons at Wall Street JournalSerious Eats and Salon.

Beef jerky is the new bacon.

This dried, chewy beef is hardly new — its origins date back to the Incas.  Often associated with truck stops and C-stores, beef jerky gained cult-like status during the Atkins era.  But now these meat snacks are back with a vengeance.  Today’s jerky, however, has earned a shred of respectability. Read more about the jerky renaissance at the New York Times.

Coconut water is the new sports drink. [click to continue…]

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Photo:  Courtesy of Flickr user Optical Illusion

Photo: Courtesy of Flickr user Optical Illusion

I’ve been writing a lot about food trends in anticipation of the start of the new year.  Most of my posts have been summaries of the predictions of others — from the National Restaurant Association to the Supermarket Guru. This time it’s my take on what I think will be hot in 2010, with a specific focus on nutrition trends.  You can find my predictions in the Chicago Tribune (The Buzz in 2010: These Nutrition Trends Will Be Fodder in New Year or in this online slideshow Nutrition Trends for 2010.) The full article is reprinted below.  What do you think will be the big issues in 2010?

Chicago Tribune

The Buzz in 2010
These nutrition trends will be fodder in new year

by Janet Helm
Special to Tribune Newspapers

Out with the old, in with the new. Now that we’ve officially started the new year, what new nutrition trends will replace the old? What food issues will dominate, and which ones will fade away?   Here are our predictions for 2010 — a nutritional forecast of what’s hot, what’s not:

Fresh is the new functional.

Pumped-up foods fortified with various health-enhancing ingredients may be falling out of favor. The majority of shoppers (88 percent) believe it’s more important to eat foods naturally rich in nutrients instead of fortified or enriched, according to Barbara Katz, president of HealthFocus International.The trend is being dubbed “inherently nutritious” or “functionally natural.” The new ideal is fresh, less processed, real and authentic. Anything artificial will continue to be challenged.

Simplicity is the new sophistication.

The year will be defined by the concept of less is more. We’ll see this in multiple ways, including less packaging, shorter ingredient lists and more understandable ingredients, said Lynn Dornblaser, a new products analyst at Mintel, a market research firm. She predicts companies will continue to pare down the ingredients in packaged food — a trend that started in 2009 with 42 percent of food and drink categories reducing the number of ingredients per product. A shorter ingredient list was the top 2010 trend identified by readers of SupermarketGuru.com.

Low carbon is the new low carb.

This year will bring the mainstreaming of sustainability, predicts Kay Logsdon, editor of The Food Channel, a Web site devoted to food. Before 2009, many people didn’t even know what the word “sustainable” meant; now it has become a priority — or at least shoppers are making small steps, she said. Expect to see more green restaurants and eco-labeling on foods, including carbon footprint, water footprint, food miles, biodegradable packaging and fair trade. Eating “local” will still be in vogue, but the definition will be expanded to make it more practical and realistic.

Food is the new insurance.

With concerns about health care likely to remain, people will intensify their efforts to stay well. Increasingly this will mean looking to food as a solution. Research conducted by HealthFocus International indicates that shoppers have a growing desire to control their own health and “live long and live strong.” The single greatest concern of shoppers is retaining mental sharpness as they age, according to the research. That means we can expect to see even more foods and beverages touting brain-related benefits. Other big claims will focus on immunity, heart disease, arthritis, eye health and the ability to “detox.”

Meat-free is the new meat.

Move over meat — you’re no longer the center-of-the-plate star. Now there’s a new approach, with meat viewed as a condiment or left out entirely at mealtime. While we may not become a country full of committed vegetarians, expect to see more people choose to eat meat less often, predicts Dawn Jackson Blatner, a dietitian and author of “The Flexitarian Diet.” Meat will be increasingly viewed as optional as more people opt for plant-based plates dominated by whole grains, beans, nuts and vegetables. The triple concerns over our health, the environment and the economy will help drive this trend, Blatner said.

Dining in is the new going out.

We will continue to reduce our reliance on restaurants in 2010 and eat more meals at home. But food preparation has changed with “warming and heating” now the method of choice, said Harry Balzer, chief industry analyst for The NPD Group, a research company that regularly tracks America’s eating habits. He predicts a resurgence of the microwave oven and more products specifically designed for microwave cooking. That may mean more respect for frozen foods, including steam-in-the bag meals and claims related to freshness locked in.

Sodium is the new trans fat.

Now that packaged foods and restaurant deep fryers have taken out trans fats, expect all eyes to turn to sodium. Sodium reduction is poised to be the next major health movement, according to Mintel’s Lynn Dornblaser. Yet this movement is being driven by the government and food industry, rather than the consumer, she said. Other trends typically start with the consumer, and then the industry delivers. Expect to see more companies announce sodium reductions, although the cuts will likely be gradual so consumer taste buds can adjust. Taste still rules, and shoppers are not willing to sacrifice.

Buzz words:  Sustainable * Local  *  Flexitarian  * Artisan * Natural  * Ethical eating * Clean eating


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A Recap of 2010 Food Trend Predictions

by Janet on January 1, 2010

Photo courtesy of Flickr user La Tartine Gourmande

Photo courtesy of Flickr user La Tartine Gourmande

On this first day of 2010, I thought I’d review all of my recent food trend posts. You’ll see predictions from a variety of sources — a forecast of what we’ll be eating in 2010.

Top Dining and Restaurant Trends for 2010 (Baum & Whiteman, Restaurants & Institutions)
Top Restaurant Trends for 2010 (Mintel)
Chefs Identify What’s Hot, What’s Not in 2010 (National Restaurant Association)
Epicurious Predicts Top 10 Food Trends for 2010
2010 Food Trend Predictions from The Food People
Top 10 Food Trends for 2010 from The Food Channel
A Taste of Nostalgia (National Association for the Specialty Food Trade)
Consumer Behavior Trends in the New Economy (Mintel)
2010 Consumer Packaged Goods Trend Predictions (Mintel)
Another Look at the Simplicity Trend

Some of the trends are best brought to life in a video. First up,  2010 predictions from Bon Appetit magazine: meatballs, new Austrian cuisine, modern vegetarian, sriracha sauce (my favorite!) and homey “slump” desserts.

Here’s a video summarizing the top ten food trends for 2010 from The Food Channel.

The UK’s Food People review their trends in this video.

Phil Lempert reviews his take on trends in this two-part video series.


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Photo courtesy of Flickr user La Tartine Gourmande
Photo courtesy of Flickr user La Tartine Gourmande

The trends keep coming.  This time the 2010 food trend predictions are from The Food Channel, based on research conducted in conjunction with CultureWaves and the International Food Futurists.  Check here for the full list.  I’ve highlighted a few of the trends below.

Food Vetting
You are what you eat, and we are big into understanding ourselves.  That’s what’s leading this trend — our constant need for assurance that we are eating the right things, that our food is safe, that we are not ingesting pesticides or anything that will someday prove harmful.  If we can provide jobs, help the economy, protect animals and ensure a sustained food supply at the same time, well, that’s all the better.

Call it food vetting, sourcing or whatever you want — the issue is that people are asking where their food comes from.  We call it the “new luxury food” because it can be more expensive to include that traceability into delivery, but we want it anyway.  It’s everything from looking for mercury-safe seafood to wanting to know that humane treatment was given to farm animals.  It’s about no hormones in meats, and organically-grown fruits and vegetables.  It’s about Fair Trade chocolate and spices.

It’s about branded meat coming into its own so that you can trust the source and make your choices based on what the animals were fed, where they were pastured and how they were slaughtered.  Expect to see more like what Dean & Deluca is doing with its Brandt Beef, from single family natural beef producers.

Photo source:  Courtesy of Brandt Beef

Photo source: Courtesy of Brandt Beef

We might even begin tagging our food so we can follow it from source, to purchase to table.  While society is more than one step removed from much of its food source these days, food vetting is an attempt to pull us closer and give us an element of control.  We want to know where our food comes from, how it’s grown and harvested and whether it’s truly good for us or not.

Mainstreaming Sustainability
Sustainability has gone mainstream.  Unlike a year ago, when people were somewhat afraid to use the word, now it flows trippingly off the tongue.  America in particular is just now learning how to be sustainable, and Americans are holding themselves responsible.  They aren’t doing this to create an illusion — there are a lot of “green echo” people out there trying to make it look like they are green.  In 2010, we’ll see people and companies becoming sustainable for authentic reasons; they are doing it to make a difference. 

If we are gong local and sustainable, some things are going to change.  “Nearby” and “hometown” may help clarify that “local” designation.  After all, how does a town like Las Vegas, that doesn’t really grow anything, offer local vegetables?

With packaging, you’ll see more bamboo and biodegradable, and “nude food” that is more transparent with less packaging.  Eating local, seasonal and fresh will be recognized as a sustainable way to eat. We’ll see more grass fed beef, which is all about sustainability and flavor.  We are assimilating sustainability and making it work for us instead of fighting it.

Keeping it Real
In a back-to-basics economy perhaps it is natural to return to basic ingredients. This isn’t about retro, or comfort food, or even cost. It’s about determining the essentials and stocking your pantry accordingly. It is about pure, simple, clean and sustainable. It is—dare we say—a shift from convenience foods to scratch cooking, now that we have more time than money and more food knowledge and concerns.

It is a natural shift, when you think about it. The trend is toward concentrating on quality, basic ingredients and building a menu from there. That’s where the value is going to be in 2010. It’s partially based on how chefs eat at home—something we all know more about thanks to the increase in sharing from celebrity chefs, cooking shows and foodie blogs.  It’s economy driven to a point, but think about it—we aren’t all digging out the Spam®. Instead, we’re exploring the extendability of known ingredients to prepare ourselves for the long haul of economic recovery.

Basic ingredients are trending high because people are still eating more at home, and they need a foundation for nightly meals. Expect to see more education that focuses on what you need in your refrigerator and pantry. Expect online shopping to focus less on luxury items and more on basics. People will be willing to spend more of their money on basics and will find that, in the long run, they end up spending less because they have less waste, higher quality and more value.

This will include some variety and the general acceptance of “new basic,” with some items we consider essential that our grandmothers may not have used—for example, olive and other oils in different flavors and styles. So while we are keeping it real, we’ll also be redefining what the staples are in many kitchens. We’ve already made a substantial shift in how we shop, prepare food, and eat, and we don’t expect this to change even if the economy improves. We are done with excess, and ready to knuckle down for an extended period to the essentials of life and of food.

 

 

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source: flickr, desertculinary

source: flickr, desertculinary

Epicurious has come up with a clever list of food trends for 2010. I like their approach of “front burner” and “back burner” as a way to predict what will be hot next year and what trends have peaked.  Check out their epi-log for more details, but here are the highlights:

Dish
Front Burner – Fried Chicken
Back Burner –  Burgers

Dessert
Front Burner  - Whoopie Pies
Back Burner -  Mini Cupcakes

Ingredient
Front BurnerLamb
Back Burner –  Pork

Health Trend
Front Burner – Immunity
Back Burner –  Omega-3

Profession
Front Burner – Butcher
Back Burner –  Mixologist

Drink
Front Burner – Homemade Beer
Back Burner –  Mad-Science Cocktails

Entertaining
Front Burner – Potlucks
Back Burner –  Formal Dinners at Home

City
Front Burner – Vancouver
Back Burner  -  Barcelona

Sex Symbol
Front Burner –  Sam Kass
Back Burner  -  Curtis Stone

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2010 Food Trend Predictions from the Food People

by Janet on November 29, 2009

509682765_29f4cb8f6cThe food trends keep coming.   This time the 2010 predictions come from the Food People, who describe themselves as the leading global food spotters and reporters.

We’re starting to see some consensus among the myriad trend experts — next year will be about simplicity, comfort and feel good, food cocooning at home, a need for treats and a little trade up, local and planet-friendly, and being squeaky clean to gain consumer’s trust. Restaurants will continue to evolve to attract diners and we’ll see even more street food — including pop up dining, food trucks and street vendors selling authentic ethnic food.  (Photo source:  Flickr, Plate of the Day).

The UK firm expects that 2009′s main macro factors, including economic, political, technological and environmental to be equally influencing food trends over the next year. The group (thefoodpeople.co.uk) identified the following 2010 food trends:

  • Food cocooning — A return to the comforts of home, resurgence of family dinner and dinner parties
  • Simplicity — Few ingredients, simple preparations for brands and restaurants
  • Customization – Products and services personalized to fit an individual’s needs
  • Industrialized food backlash — Growing voice of consumers, cynicism against industry
  • Global comfort food – Including baked comfort
  • Local — Will gain even more prominence, including farmers’ markets and global mega brands
  • Digital dining — Increase of food-based phone apps. social networking, food by mail, online reservations
  • Street food — Dining trucks, street vendors, informal and authentic ethnic food, part of anti-restaurant movement
  • Need for treats — Feel good, trade up,  growth of mini desserts
  • Planet-conscious eating — More mainstreaming of green, sustainable, fair trade, ethical eating
  • National health — Increase in programs, initiatives, products and even legislation to improve our health, especially diabetes and heart disease
  • Changing restaurants — Will continue to evolve with initiatives such as no reservations, happy hours, value pricing and a move toward more local ingredients
  • Frozen food — New positioning, shaking the “cheap and cheerful” image of the past, evolving toward freshness locked in, extension of the pantry and total convenience

The British trend trackers believe U.S. southern cuisine will be big in 2010, along with the cuisines of Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Peru, French Bistro, Scandinavia, Vietnam, Korea, Japan and the Middle Eastern belt, including Morocco and Lebanon.

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Top Restaurant Trends for 2010

by Janet on November 20, 2009

photo source: Flickr, Waleed

photo source: Flickr, Waleed

What’s in store next year for restaurants?  Mintel Menu Insights, a service that tracks U.S. menu trends, identified five predictions for 2010.   The trends reflect a greater focus on high quality ingredients, classic flavor combinations and authentic, old-fashioned preparations  to lure in diners.

“In 2010, we expect menus to go back to the basic roots of good food and drink,” said registered dietitian Maria Caranfa, a senior analyst for Mintel Menu Insights.  Here are Mintel’s top five restaurant trends for next year:

  • Classically simple. Many restaurants did less pioneering during the recession and what did they discover?  Simple sells.  In 2010, Mintel predicts chefs will harness the power of classic combinations and simple, pure ingredients.  This year the top new menu items for chain restaurants is an all-America classic:  the burger.  Look for more nostalgic, decadent pleasures on the menu:  bacon, lobster, classic cocktails, milk-and-cookies and donut hole desserts.
  • Restaurant-grown. Just because people don’t have time to cook doesn’t mean they don’t crave homemade food.  Next year, watch chefs add a homegrown — or rather, restaurant-grown — touch where they can:  artisan breads and cheeses, house-infused spirits, locally sourced produce and meats.  “Rustic” will be the buzzword that describes imperfectly-shaped pizza crusts and mashed potatoes.  Restaurant-grown items are also a great way for restaurants to differentiate themselves.
  • Dining out in. “If you build it, they will come”  isn’t working the way it used to.  Half of Americans are spending less at restaurants because of the economy, so it’s time for restaurants to come to them.  Burger King is one of the latest to sell its food (French fries) in retail stores, but expect more retail-restaurant connections in 2010.  Additionally, more restaurants will uphold relationships with customers by using iPhone apps for menu changes and online ordering.
  • Inherent health. Nearly nine in 10 Americans think eating healthy is important, but 63% say it’s difficult at restaurants because there aren’t enough healthy items. It’s time for that to change:  2009 saw a trend toward healthier menus, but 2010 will see a sharp increase in good-for-you food and drink.  Tomorrow’s healthy menus will feature inherently nutritious items — those with fiber, omega-3, vitamins and antioxidants — that deliver on flavor too.
  • Regional ethnic. In this great melting pot, it’s no wonder people love ethnic food.  In July, four in five adults told Mintel they’d eaten ethnic food at a restaurant in the past month.  Cuisines like Mexican, Chinese and Italian have become so mainstream, however, that it’s time to dig deeper.  Restaurants will increasingly pinpoint specific regions — Tuscany, Brazil, Morocco, or even within the U.S., North Carolina BBQ — to develop tomorrow’s ethnic food.

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Supermarket Guru’s Top Food Trends for 2010

by Janet on November 19, 2009

‘Tis the season of food trends.  So you’ll be hearing a lot from me about emerging trends as we approach the New Year.

Here’s a look at the top food trends for 2010 identified by Phil Lempert, aka the Supermarket Guru.

  • Private label evolution.  Consumer acceptance and purchasing of less expensive store brands are at an all-time high. Lempert predicts that the major food companies will fight back with new strategies, such as  co-branded products and partnerships with retailers.mad-men-postcard-newsletter
  • 1960s are back! Perhaps it’s the influence of the popular show Mad Men, but the spotlight seems to be on those 76 million baby boomers who grew up in an era where the Don and Betty Drapers were the role models.  The show has sparked an entire range of Mad Men products, including Eight-O-Clock Coffee’s free Mad Men eCards. Look for ’60s iconic food brands to be updated with a new ingredient profile and more flavor to meet the nutrition desires and needs, along with the dimensioned taste buds of the aging boomer.  Look for less carbonated soft drinks and more vitamin enriched everything.
  • Food sense. People want to know where their food comes from and with the Country of Origin Labeling (COOL), shoppers are learning more than they ever expected, especially in the meat case.  Labels on meat that list more than one country are prompting consumer questions and concerns.  Lempert predicts that the hot trend of 2010 will be the re-emergence of the local butcher (within supermarkets and as free-standing shops) where shoppers will go, select the cuts of meat they prefer and have it ground on demand.
  • The power of the collective. It’s a new world of “word-of-mouth” recommendations using the latest technologies:  mobile devices, mommy bloggers, Twitter and house parties.  The shopper in 2010 will depend less on advertising and more on social networking and killer apps to help them make their decisions on where to eat and what foods to buy.
  • Cute and cleavage is out. Even though the Food Network has relied on hot looking female and male chefs, Lempert said that’s so last year. With the success of Julie & Julia and the closing of Gourmet, we’re now moving back to substance over glitz.  It’s time for the food to be the star, Lempert said, which is what today’s shoppers believe it should be. ichill relaxation
  • Comfort food transforms into relaxation foods. Instead of  the “psychology” of comfort foods, brands are coming out with “relaxation”  products with herbs and other ingredients designed to relax or put you to sleep.  Products like the  iChill Relaxation Shot  may be the replacements for Vitamin Water and Gatorade, Lempert suggests.  He believes this trend will move to other categories including “anti-energy” bars, snack foods and even spawn a resurgence of calming after-dinner drinks that you can enjoy at home.
  • Less is more. The food industry realizes that by using “real foods” and shorter ingredient lists that they’re creating healthier products that consumers want.  Brands that illustrate this trend include Haagen-Dazs Five, Healthy Choice All Naturals, Peter Pan Peanut Butter and Campbell’s Select Harvest.
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